The fall of the authoritarian dictator Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria marks a significant setback for China’s influence in the Middle East, exposing the limits of its diplomatic and economic ambitions in the region according to Reuters.
Assad’s fall: Bashar al-Assad's regime, which China had strongly backed, collapsed on Sunday after anti-regime forces seized Damascus. This marks the end of Assad’s 50-year dynasty in Syria.
Syria's President Bashar al-Assad and his wife Asma are welcomed upon their arrival at Hangzhou airport, China in this handout picture obtained by Reuters on September 21, 2023. Syrian Presidency/Handout via Reuters
China faces setback as Assad
China’s relationship with Assad's regime: Just over a year ago, China welcomed Assad and his wife during a six-day visit, pledging support for Syria’s rebuilding and opposing external interference.
China’s regional strategy: The downfall of Assad's regime weakens the influence of China’s key allies, Russia and Iran, and raises questions about Beijing's ability to shape political outcomes in the Middle East.
China’s response: China's foreign ministry has called for a "political solution" in Syria, with cautious statements on future engagement. Beijing is expected to wait before recognizing any new government in Damascus.
What’s next
Reconstruction: While China could play a role in Syria’s reconstruction, its financial commitment is expected to be limited due to recent efforts to minimize financial risks overseas.
Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): Despite Syria’s inclusion in China’s BRI, there have been no major investments, partly due to ongoing sanctions.
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